Study and Statistical Modeling of Extreme Temperatures in Northeastern Algeria

Abstract

According to the (GEC2021), global warming could have a very serious impact on many sectors such as health, the environment and the economy. Scientists are highlighting the changes in intensity and frequency observed in the past, and attempting to predict the future. This is not climate change, but rather the risk of a worsening of its intensity. To this end, this article aims to identify temperature maxima in northeastern Algeria. To do this, we applied the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) to data from the chosen weather station over a period of more than thirty years, in order to understand the behavior of maxima. Our study showed that whatever the return period, the monthly mean remains around 31°C.